Independent and cutting-edge analysis on Turkey and its neighborhood

In his assessment of Turkey’s approach to WMD risks the author includes the perceptions and internal dynamics among various regional actors, capabilities of involved players, and the role of evolving strategic alliances. Analyzing possible Turkish responses to the advent of an openly nuclear Iran, Lesser estimates that the extent and character of Turkish security ties –with the US, within NATO, and with European partners– will be key factors, as well as internal political developments. The effects of a nuclear Iran on Turkey’s regional and international policies are explored and the influence of Turkey’s prospect of EU membership on Turkey’s potential responses are analyzed. In this framework Lesser identifies the costs and benefits of Turkey’s cooperation with the US and Israel as well as the role of NATO and the EU in determining Turkey’s stance regarding WMDs in general, and specifically regarding Iran’s nuclear ambitions...Please click here to read the text in full.

CONTRIBUTOR
Ian O. Lesser
Ian O. Lesser

Dr. Ian O. Lesser is the Executive Director of the Transatlantic Center, the Brussels office of the German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF), and GMF’s Senior Director for Foreign Policy.

From the Desk of the Editor This issue of TPQ comes at a time when relations between Turkey and the EU are at a historical low point. The sources of tension are manifold, and have been compounded by a constellation of transformations in Turkey, Europe, and the international system. The global upswing in far-right populist movements, isolationism, the conflict in Syria and its humanitarian crisis, and the threat of ISIS have...
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