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This study estimates the probable magnitude of immigration from Turkey to the EU when Turkey becomes a full member and restrictions on movement of labor are removed. Alternative methods and scenarios are scrutinized in forecasts for the period 2004 to 2030. The analyses are based on the experience of countries that have already joined the EU. Special attention was paid to the experiences of the southern “cohesion” countries - Greece, Portugal and Spain - and Turkey’s own emigration record. Potential emigration from a slower growing Turkey without membership is also examined, and the result is that this yields greater numbers of immigrants...
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Umut Kuzubaş
Umut Kuzubaş
Refik Erzan
Refik Erzan
Nilüfer Yıldız
Nilüfer Yıldız
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Foreword TPQ’s Summer issue, NATO in 2020 and Beyond: New Strategies and Frontiers, offers insights on the Alliance’s current challenges and future security trends, while offering a look into Euro-Atlantic relations in the coming decade. It is clear that as the international security landscape is rapidly changing, member states’ capabilities, resilience, and most importantly, their...
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