Independent and cutting-edge analysis on Turkey and its neighborhood

The purpose of this note is to present a recap of the Argentina and Turkish experiences with stabilization over the years in order to help shift the focus of comparison between the two countries within domestic circles towards a more academic discussion. This said, a full-fledged comparison of the two countries’ experiences and definite lessons for Turkey are beyond the scope of this note. Rather, the note has the more humble objective of providing a spark to ignite further and more complete analyses of the issues as they relate to drawing lessons for Turkey from Argentina’s long list of stabilization plans. There seem to be significant similarities between Turkey and Argentina regarding the dynamics of inflation and how it has changed over time. There are differences as well, but still Turkey can benefit from Argentina’s past experience going forward. A critical lesson to be learned is that once fundamental weaknesses related to the fiscal regime and the banking sector are corrected; the choice of the exchange rate regime is likely to matter less. Nevertheless, progress in disinflation is likely to be slow with Turkey’s floating exchange rate and inflation targeting framework, unless the government can effectively coordinate wage and price increases in the private sector.
 


Please click here to read the text in full

CONTRIBUTOR
Cem Akyürek
Cem Akyürek
From the Desk of the Editor TPQ’s Summer 2018 issue marks the 11th annual edition that we are publishing with the support of NATO’s Public Diplomacy Division. This long-standing partnership has helped TPQ in its efforts to feature nuanced and diverse opinions on the security policy challenges facing Turkey, the region, and the transatlantic community. Over the years, we have had the privilege of bringing the...
STAY CONNECTED
SIGN UP FOR NEWSLETTER
TWEETS
FACEBOOK
PARTNERS