Independent and cutting-edge analysis on Turkey and its neighborhood

This paper assesses the growth prospects for the Turkish economy over the next decade. It implicitly asks whether Turkey can start closing the gap with the EU in terms of income per capita when it has achieved macroeconomic stability and when the negotiations with the EU provide an anchor for overall economic policy-making.Viewed from this perspective, the outlook is promising. Turkey is still poor, compared to most of the existing EU members, but is also more dynamic. The fact that most of the so-called ‘periphery’ is now growing more strongly than the ‘core’ confirms that within an enlarged EU the poorer member countries are likely to prosper and thus they cause fewer problems than widely anticipated...

Kemal Derviş & D. Gros, F. Öztrak, F. Bayar, Y. Işık
Kemal Derviş & D. Gros, F. Öztrak, F. Bayar, Y. Işık
From the Desk of the Editor This issue of TPQ comes at a time when relations between Turkey and the EU are at a historical low point. The sources of tension are manifold, and have been compounded by a constellation of transformations in Turkey, Europe, and the international system. The global upswing in far-right populist movements, isolationism, the conflict in Syria and its humanitarian crisis, and the threat of ISIS have...