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This paper assesses the growth prospects for the Turkish economy over the next decade. It implicitly asks whether Turkey can start closing the gap with the EU in terms of income per capita when it has achieved macroeconomic stability and when the negotiations with the EU provide an anchor for overall economic policy-making.Viewed from this perspective, the outlook is promising. Turkey is still poor, compared to most of the existing EU members, but is also more dynamic. The fact that most of the so-called ‘periphery’ is now growing more strongly than the ‘core’ confirms that within an enlarged EU the poorer member countries are likely to prosper and thus they cause fewer problems than widely anticipated...

CONTRIBUTOR
Kemal Derviş
Kemal Derviş
Faik Öztrak
Faik Öztrak
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Yapı Kredi
Foreword After the violent dissolution of the former Yugoslavia in the 1990s, there had been a shared sense of hope for a more peaceful future for the European continent. Unfortunately, this comfortability disappeared after Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered his troops to march against the Ukrainian forces throughout the border on 24 February 2022. This marked a turning point not only for the region...
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