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According to the authors many Europeans believe that if Turkey were to become an EU member state there would be large numbers of Turks immigrating to EU. It is estimated that there are approximately 3.6 million Turkish nationals living abroad of which about 3.2 million are in European countries. Some studies predict a flow of migrants (between 1.3 to 2.7 million) from Turkey to the EU until 2030. The authors argue that prospects of EU accession will not eliminate immigration from Turkey; however, the context, the number and the composition of Turkish immigration will be very different than what it has been so far. Given the importance of the EU as an anchor in Turkish politics and for the economy, it is quite likely that migration might be greater and of a more difficult sort if the prospects of membership is lost.

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CONTRIBUTOR
Kemal Kirişçi
Kemal Kirişçi
Umut Kuzubaş
Umut Kuzubaş
This issue was published in collaboration with AmCham Turkey.
From the Desk of the Editor TPQ’s Winter 2019/20 issue, published in collaboration with AmCham Turkey, titled A Long-Lasting Affinity: Acknowledging US-Turkey Ties, lays out how strong cultural, educational, and professional relationships across different sectors culminate in beneficial partnerships and success stories. Our dedicated readers will realize that this Winter issue is a continuation of our new brand TPQ...
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